Thursday, August 22, 2013
Death Comes to Syria and Egypt
Nerve gas wafted through the streets and homes. By the time it dissipated, it killed 1,300 just as effectively as the Japanese at Nanking or the Romans at Carthage in the Third Punic War.
The Daily Mail referred to the incident as "the town that never woke up."
The Syrian belligerents can be divided into three categories. First is the Syrian government itself, no stranger to atrocities. Rebelling against it is one group with an equal potential for evil, the Islamicists. Kurdish forces in the northeast have seized important points. Kurds have a quasi-sovereign state in northern Iraq, but also live in Syria, Turkey, and Iran. Possibly the weakest faction is the Syrian nationalist rebels, tied by outrageous fortune to the Islamicists.
Government forces showed signs of desperation earlier this week when they attacked the Israeli held Golan Heights. Provoking a war with Israel would throw the region into chaos. Israel, so far, has remained somewhat restrained.
A group allied with the Syrian government took down the Washington Post's website last week.
The Washington Free Beacon reported a day before the attack that a joint Russian-American plan to create a transitional government has not taken the first necessary steps.
Meanwhile in Egypt, as was reported yesterday by Kirby Wilbur on the Sean Hannity Show, Muslim Brotherhood thugs, ousted by the military, have taken their rage out on the Coptic Christian community.
American influence since World War II has not brought complete peace, but has kept the lid on conflicts that could have erupted without its presence. US troops have occasionally played a role, as in Lebanon under Eisenhower and Reagan. This also, of course, includes the Iraq wars. But usually US aims are realized through the dispensation of aid and realpolitik style maneuvering.
Some of these conflicts, such as the rise of the Islamofascist thug group, Muslim Brotherhood, have steadily percolated for years. The Brotherhood aligned with the Nazis before and during World War II to try and destabilize British authority in the Middle East. Ever since, they have worked to undermine secular rule in Egypt to establish an Iran or Taliban style state there.
The full realization of their plans would put a hostile power in control of the vital Suez Canal who also would attack Israel.
Part of the problem lies at the feet of Barack Obama. Nearly every president since Harry Truman has based American Middle East policy on certain foundations. First was support of Israel. Second, America must protect, or support the protection of, strategic interests. These include safe ocean passage through the Suez, Straits of Hormuz, etc., oil reserves, and important points.
The United States also worked to prevent the rise of malefactors in the Middle East, but also lived with anti-democratic forces willing to go along with the game plan. For example, Qaddafi was an enemy when he sponsored terrorism. When he renounced weapons of mass destruction, he became at least tolerable and a possible example of a "reformed" dictator. Not the best case scenario, but an improvement.
Supporting "democracy" in the Middle East is problematic. Islamofascists, like the German Nazis and Communists before, advocate "democracy" so that they can come to power and annihilate it. The best case scenario for Germany in the mid 1930s would have been a military coup and purge of Hitler's followers and Communists, followed by a restoration of the Kaiser. Those rebelling against authoritarianism today often only plan to establish bloody totalitarianism tomorrow.
Previous presidents understood this. Obama does not.
American policy in the region has no chance of restoration under Obama. His aimless diplomacy, coupled with two poorly performing secretaries of state, inspire no respect. Middle Easterners did not always like Obama's predecessor, but they respected his strength and ability to act. Obama has effectively destroyed that perception and replaced it with weakness.
Drifting away from Israel has also made war more likely, not less.
Even though energy self-sufficiency will de-emphasize the Middle East's importance somewhat, it still breeds hate and terror. America must have a policy that starts with a perception of strength based on the reality of action. Doing anything else increases the chance of war and/or terror attacks.
Friday, February 11, 2011
Military Dictatorship In Egypt?

Unrest in Egypt is getting worse and not better. What is unclear is which groups stand to gain if, or more likely when, Hosni Mubarek is forced to step aside. We would love to see true democracy, but should be concerned about the Moslem Brotherhood (backed by Obama, of course.) Egypt has tried to retain a secular government in the face of a tide of dangerous fundamentalism. Inviting a religious group to the table is a bad idea. Just because they came does not mean they should get to sit or speak.
History shows us that revolutions such as the one brewing in Cairo tend to turn out badly much of the time. Radicals shove aside moderates and spill blood when they consolidate power. Radicals want to control the people body, mind, and spirit. Radical Islamofacist terror will be bad for Egypt, Israel, Europe, and the United States.
In 1933, German democracy selected Communists and Nazis overwhelmingly in elections for the national legislature (Reichstag.) Its system required the President to choose a government from the dominant political parties. The President selected what he thought was the better of two evils, the Nazis. Of course the Communists had already killed thousands and wrecked Russia. The Nazis had not done as much yet, although they eventually would. The best case scenario for that desperate nation would have been a temporary seizure of power by the military.
Is that what is best for Egypt? If the Moslem Brotherhood or any other Islamic front group try to seize power, the military needs to step in and shove them aside. We need no more radical religious groups running nations in the Middle East. It is not a great result, but better than a lot of alternatives if true democracy cannot be established.
This all being said, that military government (as we have seen this morning actually take over the country) needs to put together a transition plan to democracy that reflects the secular nature of the country and respects all of its religious groups. It needs to promise to prevent terror as well. Hopefully, temporary military rule will result in real democracy and positive change for Egypt.
Monday, July 20, 2009
13 Rue Madeline

Tuesday, July 14, 2009
Henry Morganthau and How Liberalism Has Changed For the Worse
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Junk Science
